Alaska Politics Blog

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New Senate organization announced - 11/7/2012 12:48 pm

Homer Revealed - 8/22/2012 2:08 pm

Seven-day countdown - 5/25/2012 8:37 pm

Anchorage city clerk resigns (UPDATED) - 5/23/2012 10:51 am

Gara to seek re-election - 5/2/2012 2:04 pm

For one lawmaker: Good news - 4/27/2012 12:20 pm

Anticipation in the Capitol - 4/26/2012 11:38 am

Election Commission finds 1/2 of precincts ran out of ballots; recommends no investigation - 4/25/2012 5:08 pm

Ivan Moore poll finds Lisa Murkowski way ahead of Joe Miller (Updated with objections from the Miller campaign)

From Sean Cockerham in Anchorage –

A new Ivan Moore Research poll on the race between Lisa Murkowski and Joe Miller has Murkowski with a big lead a month before the election. Moore also reports that fewer than half the Alaskans he polled have a favorable view of Sarah Palin.

Moore polled 303 potential Republican primary voters between July 7th and July 11th. He found 61.8 percent (or 187 people) favor Murkowski in the primary. Miller had support from 29.6 percent and another 8.6 percent were undecided.

Moore also asked the full 647 people in the poll, regardless of political affiliation, how they generally felt about Sarah Palin, Miller and Murkowski.

Moore reports 41.1 percent were either “very positive” or “somewhat positive” about Palin, who has endorsed Miller. Moore's poll found 46.6 percent with either a very or somewhat negative view of Palin. The rest of them were neutral.

Moore’s poll indicated that 52.8 percent were positive about Murkowski and 18.3 percent positive about Miller. Fewer than 13 percent of thise polled were negative about Miller, though, with more than half the people having no idea who he is.

Moore tends to work for Democrats but said no one paid for these particular questions. He said he added them to a telephone survey he conducted asking other questions for a variety of clients.

He declined to identify them, saying it’s up to the clients if they want to release the questions they paid for.

Update – Miller campaign manager Paul Bauer called to say Moore’s numbers on the race are “garbage.” He said he doesn't trust Moore's polling and that the Miller-Murkowski survey was added to questions paid for by Democrat Ethan Berkowitz. (Moore has said there were multiple paying clients for the poll, each with specific questions they were interested in, and that he combined them into a single poll and added the Miller-Murkowski questions himself because he was interested.)

Bauer said he does not have his own poll he can share on the race but that the Miller campaign is currently working on a poll. Read the Miller campaign's full response, "Miller campaign calls bogus polling a political stunt," by clicking here.

Moore said he stands by his poll. Berkowitz paid for
one question in the poll, Moore said. "I also had a Republican client who was buying the governor data and whatever, and had two or three other nonpolitical clients on the survey."

Moorepoll.pdf146.76 KB
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