The Trail : A blog on the 2006 Alaska governor's race by Kyle Hopkins

About the blog: The race to become Alaska's next governor is on and it's about to get muddy. Grab your boots and follow the Daily News along the winding campaign trail.

Contact: thetrail@adn.com

Blog : Alaska Politics


Happy trails - 11/8/2006 8:05 pm

Forty-two - 11/8/2006 8:01 pm

Election hangover - 11/8/2006 10:25 am

Tonight (updated) - 11/7/2006 12:18 pm

Full Moon - 11/6/2006 7:11 pm

Fishy photos? - 11/6/2006 12:08 pm

Smelly deal? - 11/5/2006 3:31 pm

Sunday best (part two) - 11/5/2006 3:18 pm

'It's going to be madness' - 11/4/2006 8:33 pm

Final push - 11/4/2006 8:26 pm

Ivan Moore - 11/4/2006 1:45 pm

Furrowed brow - 11/3/2006 2:20 pm

New poll (updated) - 11/3/2006 2:00 pm

Berkowitz - 11/3/2006 10:29 am

Predict the future - 11/2/2006 10:53 pm

Live debate (updated 9:37 p.m.) - 11/2/2006 8:19 pm

More on the e-mails - 11/2/2006 7:14 pm

Channel 7 debate (updated) - 11/2/2006 7:12 pm

Round two - 11/2/2006 4:20 pm

Read the e-mails - 11/1/2006 9:45 pm

TV debate tonight (updated) - 11/1/2006 11:02 am

Anchorage Rotary debate - 10/31/2006 4:58 pm

New poll (updated)

Thanks for the heads-up.
Rasmussen has even newer numbers than those posted below. They're still on the firm's pay site, but there's a round-up here at www.realclearpolitics.com.

They're reporting Nov. 1 numbers of:
Palin: 48 percent
Knowles: 43 percent
Undecided: 4 percent

(I checked on the Rasmussen pay site to verify.)


A recent Rasmussen Reports poll has Palin’s lead at two percentage points over Knowles, with 12 percent choosing “other.”

In this case, “other” is presumably Halcro. The last few Rasmussen polls have ignored Halcro.

The results:
Palin: 42 percent.
Knowles: 40 percent.

The poll was conducted Oct. 29. The sample size was 500 likely voters, with a margin of error of about 4.5 percent.

The firm reports:
Knowles has shored up his base since August. He then had 89% of Democrats with him when he was matched up against the incumbent, Governor Murkowski. But Knowles attracted only 72% of Democrats in a match-up with Palin. In the current poll he draws 82% of fellow Democrats.
Palin attracts about the same number of Republicans now as she did then (70%). But she has lost her narrow advantage with unaffiliated voters, among whom her opponent now leads 46% to 28%.

Click here for more.


  4     November 3, 2006 - 4:13pm | signwaver

i was correct.....

These are the real Rasmussen numbers for today: Rasmussen 11/02 - 11/02 500 LV 48 43 4 Palin +5.0

You are all looking at October 29th!

As I correctly reported......48-43 or +5.

My intelligence found it at:
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2006/governor/ak/alaska_governor_race-68.html

  3     November 3, 2006 - 4:02pm | signwaver

wrong2

There is def some confusion on the Rasmussen new numbers.

I might be totally wrong.

It might really be 42-40.

I am not uninteligent.
It is called bad information.

But before getting giddy, you all better listen to the Ivan Moore new numbers at 4:00p.m. on his radio show. I hear its a big number. Not 2.

The real poll is Tuesday.

  2     November 3, 2006 - 3:50pm | chilcoot

Signwaver Is Mistaken

I'm not going to comment on Signwaver's intelligence. I'll leave that alone and just say she's wrong.

http://tinyurl.com/y224ep

  1     November 3, 2006 - 3:39pm | signwaver

wrong

You have those numbers wrong.
Those are the old numbers.

Its 48-43 on their site.

Check it out.

And give Ivan Moore a call.
His is also just out.

Sorry Tonybots

  November 3, 2006 - 3:43pm | thetrail

I'm confused:

How old can the numbers be?
It says the poll was conducted Oct. 29 ...
Are you saying there's something more recent?
-- Kyle

  November 3, 2006 - 4:05pm | alaskandomer

Rasmussen

Realclearpolitics.com show Rasmussen's November 2 poll numbers as Palin 48, Knowles 43. Rasmussen's website references a poll conducted yesterday, but you have to pay the big bucks to get the breakout.

  November 3, 2006 - 3:52pm | Paxbro

Rasmussen Poll Results Nov. 2

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2006/governor/ak/alaska_governor_race-68.html

  November 3, 2006 - 7:53pm | lewisandclark

Real Clear Politics

What an Oxymoron.

Close numbers would definitely help get the Palin supporters scared back out.

Heck look at heman. Considering he was a postman for a hundred years, I'd do what he did- vote early too before I kicked off.